Publications

You can also find my articles on my Google Scholar profile.

Journal Articles

Conformal prediction for frequency-severity modeling
Helton Graziadei, Paulo C. Marques F., Eduardo F. L. de Melo, Rodrigo S. Targino

Published in Journal of Applied Statistics, 2025

Actuarial Modeling of Losses in Brazilian Soybean Crops (portuguese)
Helton Graziadei, Eduardo F. L. de Melo, Rodrigo S. Targino

Published in Brazilian Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025

Artificial Intelligence for Mortality Forecasting using Pension Plans Data (portuguese)
Eduardo F. L. de Melo, Helton Graziadei, Rodrigo S. Targino

Published in Brazilian Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025

Model Choice for Quantitative Health Impact Assessment and Modelling: An Expert Consultation and Narrative Literature Review
Natalie Muller, Rodrigo Anderle, Nicolai Brachowicz, Helton Graziadei, Simon J Lloyd, Gabriel de Sampaio Morais, Alberto Pietro Sironi, Karina Gibert, Cathryn Tonne, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen, Davide Rasella

Published in International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 2023

Bayesian generalizations of the integer-valued autoregressive model
Paulo C. Marques F., Helton Graziadei, Hedibert F. Lopes

Published in Journal of Applied Statistics, 2022

Prior Sensitivity Analysis in a Semi-Parametric Integer-Valued Time Series Model
Helton Graziadei, Antonio Lijoi, Hedibert F. Lopes, Paulo C. Marques F., Igor Prûnster

Published in Entropy, 2020

Submitted / Under review

Projected random forests and conformal prediction of circular data
Paulo C. Marques F., Rinaldo Artes, Helton Graziadei